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The Harrison Rush/Fire Drill Weekly Wrap-Up
A Brief, Reliable, Rundown of the Investment Banking Recruiting Market.

Q2 2025 M&A Market Snapshot: Strategic Scale Over Volume
Mega-Deals Return, But Overall Volume Drops
Despite a 17% year-over-year decline in global M&A deal volume, total disclosed deal value jumped over 30%. The uptick was driven by the resurgence of “mega-deals,” signaling confidence among well-capitalized buyers. Strategic acquirers and PE sponsors shifted their focus toward transformative acquisitions rather than incremental bolt-ons.
Thematic Focus: AI, Defense Tech, Climate Innovation, Software, Healthcare Tech
M&A activity gravitated toward sectors at the intersection of long-term growth and geopolitical relevance. Investment flowed into AI infrastructure, defense technologies, climate solutions, Software, and Healthcare Tech — sectors seen as resilient and essential amid macro uncertainty.
Private Market Gold Rush
More than half of the largest deals this year targeted unlisted companies. This reflects a growing conviction that untapped value — and less regulatory friction — can be found in the private arena, especially as public market volatility persists.
Investment Banking Performance: Advisory Holds, Underwriting Slips
Advisory Resilience in Uncertain Terrain
Advisory revenue continued to outperform as clients leaned heavily on bankers to guide complex, high-value deals through volatile macro waters. While underwriting remains cyclical, advisory has proven to be a steady anchor.
Outlook: Below-Trend Quarter, But Hopes for H2 Rebound
The top U.S. banks are expected to fall short of the $7 billion advisory and underwriting revenue streak, with Q2 projections landing between $6 billion and $ 6.5 billion. That said, many expect a better second half if macro and regulatory conditions remain stable, particularly with cash on hand and strategic urgency mounting.
Geographic Divergence: Asia and the Middle East in Focus
India and the Middle East stood out for their rising deal volumes. Asia’s M&A market nearly doubled — driven in part by intra-regional consolidation and sovereign capital deployment. These regions are now at the forefront for global dealmakers looking beyond North America and Western Europe.
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